Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Spartak Varna | 2 | 4 | 1.6 | +2.4Outperforming | 12 | +0.2 | +2.1 | 0:3 vs Cherno More (+2.1) | 2:2 vs CSKA 1948 Sofia (0.2) |
2 | Ludogorets | 2 | 6 | 4.5 | +1.5On expectation | 2 | +0.7 | +0.8 | 0:2 vs Dunav Ruse (+0.8) | 1:0 vs Lok. Plovdiv (0.7) |
3 | Levski Sofia | 2 | 6 | 4.7 | +1.3On expectation | 1 | +0.3 | +1.0 | 1:2 vs Lok. Sofia (+1.0) | 2:1 vs Dunav Ruse (0.4) |
4 | Lok. Plovdiv | 2 | 3 | 2.4 | +0.6On expectation | 8 | +1.1 | -0.5 | 2:1 vs Septemvri Sofia (+1.1) | 1:0 vs Ludogorets (-0.5) |
5 | Arda | 2 | 4 | 3.6 | +0.4On expectation | 5 | +1.1 | -0.8 | 1:0 vs Slavia Sofia (+1.1) | 1:1 vs Septemvri Sofia (-0.8) |
6 | CSKA Sofia | 2 | 4 | 4.0 | -0.0On expectation | 4 | +1.1 | -1.1 | 3:2 vs Botev Plovdiv (+1.1) | 0:0 vs Slavia Sofia (-1.1) |
7 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 2 | 4 | 4.1 | -0.1On expectation | 3 | +0.9 | -1.0 | 2:1 vs Botev Vratsa (+0.9) | 2:2 vs Spartak Varna (-1.0) |
8 | Slavia Sofia | 2 | 1 | 1.6 | -0.6On expectation | 13 | +0.3 | -0.9 | 0:0 vs CSKA Sofia (+0.3) | 1:0 vs Arda (-0.9) |
9 | Lok. Sofia | 2 | 1 | 1.7 | -0.7On expectation | 11 | -0.8 | +0.1 | 1:1 vs Botev Plovdiv (+0.1) | 1:2 vs Levski Sofia (-0.7) |
10 | Septemvri Sofia | 2 | 1 | 1.8 | -0.8On expectation | 10 | +0.1 | -0.8 | 1:1 vs Arda (+0.1) | 2:1 vs Lok. Plovdiv (-0.9) |
11 | Dunav Ruse | 2 | 0 | 0.8 | -0.8On expectation | 14 | -0.6 | -0.3 | 2:1 vs Levski Sofia (+-0.2) | 0:2 vs Ludogorets (-0.6) |
12 | Botev Vratsa | 2 | 1 | 2.0 | -1.1On expectation | 9 | -0.4 | -0.7 | 1:1 vs Cherno More (+-0.4) | 2:1 vs CSKA 1948 Sofia (-0.7) |
13 | Botev Plovdiv | 2 | 1 | 2.6 | -1.6On expectation | 7 | -0.8 | -0.8 | 3:2 vs CSKA Sofia (+-0.8) | 1:1 vs Lok. Sofia (-0.8) |
14 | Cherno More | 2 | 1 | 3.1 | -2.1Underperforming | 6 | -1.9 | -0.3 | 1:1 vs Botev Vratsa (+-0.3) | 0:3 vs Spartak Varna (-1.8) |