efbet League 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Levski Sofia | 8 | 24 | 18.1 | +5.9Outperforming ++ | 1 | +3.2 | +2.7 | 1:3 vs Botev Plovdiv (+1.0) | 2:1 vs Dunav Ruse (0.3) |
2 | Ludogorets | 8 | 20 | 17.3 | +2.7Outperforming | 2 | +1.0 | +1.8 | 2:3 vs Cherno More (+1.1) | 1:1 vs Slavia Sofia (-1.3) |
3 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 8 | 16 | 13.4 | +2.6Outperforming | 5 | +4.7 | -2.1 | 1:3 vs Lok. Sofia (+1.6) | 1:0 vs Septemvri Sofia (-2.0) |
4 | Arda | 8 | 16 | 13.7 | +2.3Outperforming | 4 | +1.5 | +0.8 | 0:1 vs Lok. Plovdiv (+1.4) | 2:3 vs Botev Plovdiv (-1.7) |
5 | Slavia Sofia | 8 | 10 | 7.9 | +2.1Outperforming | 10 | -1.2 | +3.2 | 0:3 vs Botev Vratsa (+2.0) | 1:0 vs Arda (-0.9) |
6 | Spartak Varna | 8 | 9 | 7.3 | +1.7On expectation | 12 | +0.8 | +0.9 | 0:3 vs Cherno More (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Septemvri Sofia (-1.7) |
7 | CSKA Sofia | 7 | 17 | 15.3 | +1.7On expectation | 3 | +3.0 | -1.3 | 3:2 vs Botev Plovdiv (+1.1) | 0:0 vs Slavia Sofia (-1.1) |
8 | Septemvri Sofia | 8 | 8 | 7.0 | +1.1On expectation | 13 | +0.3 | +0.7 | 1:0 vs CSKA 1948 Sofia (+2.3) | 2:3 vs Botev Vratsa (-1.4) |
9 | Botev Vratsa | 8 | 7 | 7.7 | -0.7On expectation | 11 | -0.1 | -0.7 | 1:0 vs Botev Plovdiv (+2.0) | 0:3 vs Slavia Sofia (-1.7) |
10 | Botev Plovdiv | 8 | 10 | 10.8 | -0.8On expectation | 7 | +0.5 | -1.3 | 2:3 vs Arda (+1.9) | 1:0 vs Botev Vratsa (-1.7) |
11 | Dunav Ruse | 8 | 4 | 6.2 | -2.1Underperforming | 14 | -3.0 | +0.8 | 1:2 vs Lok. Plovdiv (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Slavia Sofia (-1.3) |
12 | Lok. Plovdiv | 8 | 6 | 9.4 | -3.4Underperforming | 8 | -0.2 | -3.2 | 1:0 vs Cherno More (+1.6) | 1:2 vs Dunav Ruse (-1.9) |
13 | Lok. Sofia | 8 | 4 | 8.9 | -4.9Underperforming | 9 | -2.8 | -2.1 | 1:1 vs Botev Plovdiv (+0.1) | 1:3 vs CSKA 1948 Sofia (-1.3) |
14 | Cherno More | 9 | 5 | 11.2 | -6.2Underperforming −− | 6 | -2.2 | -4.0 | 3:1 vs Dunav Ruse (+1.0) | 0:3 vs Spartak Varna (-1.8) |
