Queens Park Rangers – Cardiff City

Professional Development League, England · 2026-10-13 · kickoff 13:00 UTC

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Away

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	—	ref
Pinnacle fair	1.92	ruler
Pinnacle offered	1.83	−4.7%
Betfair (net)	1.84	−4.2%
bet365	1.76	−8.2%

€12 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Away

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	—	1.92	1.84	1.76
Full time 1X2 · Draw	—	5.06	4.71	4.33
Full time 1X2 · Home	—	3.56	3.42	3.00
Over/under 3.5 · Over	—	1.79	1.70	1.62
Over/under 3.5 · Under	—	2.26	2.20	2.05
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	—	1.85	1.80	1.76
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	—	2.17	2.06	1.96
Both teams to score · No	—	3.82	3.33	3.00
Both teams to score · Yes	—	1.35	1.36	1.33

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.