Peterborough U21 – Sheffield Utd U21

Professional Development League, England · 2026-10-13 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · full time 0-4 (HT 0-3) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Draw

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	5.52	ref
Pinnacle fair	4.44	ruler
Pinnacle offered	3.98	−10.3%
Betfair (net)	4.52	+1.8%
bet365	4.33	−2.4%

€1 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Draw

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365	Minutes above fair
Full time 1X2 · Away	1.80	2.90	2.65	2.55	0
Full time 1X2 · Draw	5.52	4.44	4.51	4.33	0
Full time 1X2 · Home	3.79	2.33	2.20	1.96	0
Over/under 3.5 · Over	2.56	1.74	1.62	1.62	0
Over/under 3.5 · Under	1.64	2.35	2.28	2.05	0
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	2.08	1.80	1.68	1.78	0
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.92	2.24	2.06	1.93	0
Both teams to score · No	2.42	4.29	3.56	3.25	0
Both teams to score · Yes	1.70	1.30	1.29	1.30	18

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.