Juventus U23 – Lumezzane

Serie C - Group A, Italy · 2026-10-13 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · full time 0-0 (HT 0-0) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Draw

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	3.73	ref
Pinnacle fair	3.52	ruler
Pinnacle offered	3.27	−7.1%
Betfair (net)	3.42	−2.8%
bet365	3.40	−3.4%

€70 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Draw

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

Venue	Opened	Lasted	Peak vs fair	€ at best price	Price taken	vs Pinnacle close	Result
Betfair	-24 min	9 min	+3.5%	€7	3.52	−0.1%	won

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365	Minutes above fair
Full time 1X2 · Away	2.21	3.79	3.47	3.40	0
Full time 1X2 · Draw	3.73	3.52	3.42	3.40	9
Full time 1X2 · Home	3.57	2.21	2.14	1.87	0
Over/under 2.5 · Over	2.00	1.85	1.80	1.69	0
Over/under 2.5 · Under	2.00	2.18	2.06	2.04	0
Over/under 3.5 · Over	3.58	3.30	3.01	2.75	0
Over/under 3.5 · Under	1.39	1.44	1.43	1.37	0
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	2.87	2.89	2.65	2.57	0
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.54	1.53	1.50	1.41	0
Both teams to score · No	2.18	2.49	2.22	2.05	0
Both teams to score · Yes	1.85	1.67	1.68	1.62	0

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.