SK Zapy – FK Caslav

3. CFL - Group A, Czechia · 2026-10-11 · kickoff 14:00 UTC

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Home

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	—	ref
Pinnacle fair	1.15	ruler
Pinnacle offered	1.12	−2.2%
Betfair (net)	1.17	+2.0%

€56 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Home

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	—	18.83	19.05	—
Full time 1X2 · Draw	—	13.20	8.41	6.50
Full time 1X2 · Home	—	1.15	1.17	—
Over/under 3.5 · Over	—	1.99	1.97	1.88
Over/under 3.5 · Under	—	2.01	1.88	1.83
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	—	2.06	1.93	1.96
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	—	1.95	1.87	1.76

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.