Sparta Prague B – Dukla Prague B

3. CFL - Group A, Czechia · 2026-10-11 · kickoff 08:15 UTC

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Draw

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	—	ref
Pinnacle fair	6.29	ruler
Pinnacle offered	4.99	−20.7%
Betfair (net)	6.13	−2.6%
bet365	5.75	−8.6%

€16 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Draw

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	—	13.48	10.03	—
Full time 1X2 · Draw	—	6.29	6.13	5.75
Full time 1X2 · Home	—	1.30	1.28	—
Over/under 3.5 · Over	—	1.85	1.75	1.62
Over/under 3.5 · Under	—	2.18	2.06	2.05
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	—	2.05	1.86	1.76
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	—	1.96	1.95	1.96

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.