Punjab – Odisha FC

ISL, India · 2026-10-14 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · full time 2-1 (HT 1-1) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Home

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	2.34	ref
Pinnacle fair	2.20	ruler
Pinnacle offered	2.12	−3.5%
Betfair (net)	2.16	−1.8%
bet365	2.05	−6.7%

€45 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Home

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	3.38	3.86	3.61	3.25
Full time 1X2 · Draw	3.62	3.50	3.23	3.10
Full time 1X2 · Home	2.34	2.20	2.16	2.05
Over/under 2.5 · Over	1.75	2.21	2.14	2.05
Over/under 2.5 · Under	2.33	1.82	1.76	1.62
Over/under 3.5 · Over	2.89	4.24	3.85	3.25
Over/under 3.5 · Under	1.53	1.31	1.31	1.30
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	3.53	3.47	3.09	3.00
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.40	1.41	1.39	1.33
Both teams to score · No	2.57	2.05	2.01	1.79
Both teams to score · Yes	1.64	1.96	1.84	1.79

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.