Inter Kashi – Kerala Blasters

ISL, India · 2026-10-11 · kickoff 11:30 UTC · full time 0-2 (HT 0-1) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Home

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	3.26	ref
Pinnacle fair	7.68	ruler
Pinnacle offered	6.71	−12.6%
Betfair (net)	7.65	−0.3%
bet365	6.00	−21.8%

€2 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Home

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	2.79	1.44	1.44	1.35
Full time 1X2 · Draw	2.98	5.65	4.80	4.50
Full time 1X2 · Home	3.26	7.68	7.65	6.00
Over/under 2.5 · Over	2.54	1.82	1.75	1.62
Over/under 2.5 · Under	1.65	2.23	2.12	2.05
Over/under 3.5 · Over	5.17	3.21	2.95	2.62
Over/under 3.5 · Under	1.24	1.45	1.44	1.41
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	4.46	2.88	2.58	2.45
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.29	1.53	1.53	1.46
Both teams to score · No	1.93	1.86	1.80	1.68
Both teams to score · Yes	2.07	2.17	1.99	1.96

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.