BVSC – Soroksar

Merkantil Bank Liga, Hungary · 2026-10-12 · kickoff 17:45 UTC · full time 5-2 (HT 1-0) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Draw

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	4.17	ref
Pinnacle fair	3.17	ruler
Pinnacle offered	2.88	−9.1%
Betfair (net)	2.90	−8.5%
bet365	3.20	+1.0%

€39 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Draw

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	2.70	2.67	2.39	2.20
Full time 1X2 · Draw	4.17	3.17	2.90	3.20
Full time 1X2 · Home	2.56	3.23	2.84	2.70
Over/under 2.5 · Over	1.78	2.29	2.19	2.05
Over/under 2.5 · Under	2.28	1.77	1.72	1.62
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	2.58	3.36	3.28	—
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.63	1.42	1.36	—

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.