Sisaket United – Chonburi

Thai League 1, Thailand · 2026-10-11 · kickoff 11:30 UTC · full time 2-1 (HT 0-0) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

Show

At kickoff · Home

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	2.35	ref
Pinnacle fair	3.25	ruler
Pinnacle offered	3.04	−6.6%
Betfair (net)	3.28	+0.8%
bet365	3.00	−7.8%

€3 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Home

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	3.82	2.44	2.31	2.05
Full time 1X2 · Draw	3.19	3.53	3.28	3.25
Full time 1X2 · Home	2.35	3.25	3.28	3.00
Over/under 2.5 · Over	2.62	2.25	2.10	2.05
Over/under 2.5 · Under	1.62	1.80	1.77	1.62
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	2.71	3.46	3.14	3.25
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.58	1.41	1.38	1.30
Both teams to score · No	1.83	2.05	1.97	1.76
Both teams to score · Yes	2.20	1.96	1.86	1.86

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.