Al Sulaibikhat – Al Jahra

Premier League, Kuwait · 2026-10-11 · kickoff 17:05 UTC · full time 1-1 (HT 1-0) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Away

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	5.17	ref
Pinnacle fair	3.54	ruler
Pinnacle offered	3.19	−9.8%
Betfair (net)	3.47	−1.9%
bet365	3.10	−12.4%

€2 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Away

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	5.17	3.54	3.47	3.10
Full time 1X2 · Draw	4.10	3.85	3.47	3.40
Full time 1X2 · Home	1.78	2.19	2.14	1.96
Over/under 2.5 · Over	1.82	2.07	1.97	1.91
Over/under 2.5 · Under	2.21	1.94	1.86	1.81
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	3.87	3.20	2.88	2.70
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.35	1.45	1.42	1.37

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.