Al Sahel – Al-Fahaheel

Premier League, Kuwait · 2026-10-11 · kickoff 14:45 UTC · full time 0-4 (HT 0-1) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Home

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	2.31	ref
Pinnacle fair	3.96	ruler
Pinnacle offered	3.52	−11.1%
Betfair (net)	3.94	−0.4%
bet365	3.50	−11.6%

€13 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Home

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

Venue	Opened	Lasted	Peak vs fair	€ at best price	Price taken	vs Pinnacle close	Result
Betfair	-62 min	9 min	+3.0%	€3	3.94	−0.4%	lost
Betfair	-44 min	19 min	+3.0%	€4	3.94	−0.4%	lost
Betfair	-23 min	3 min	+3.0%	€4	3.94	−0.4%	lost

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365	Minutes above fair
Full time 1X2 · Away	3.83	1.95	1.86	1.81	0
Full time 1X2 · Draw	3.27	4.27	3.61	3.50	0
Full time 1X2 · Home	2.31	3.96	3.94	3.50	31
Over/under 2.5 · Over	2.58	2.07	1.92	1.93	0
Over/under 2.5 · Under	1.63	1.94	1.93	1.78	0
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	4.50	3.10	2.84	2.70	0
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.28	1.48	1.44	1.37	0

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.