Al-Faisaly FC – Al-Kholood

Saudi Professional League, Saudi Arabia · 2026-10-15 · kickoff 13:40 UTC

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Away

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	—	ref
Pinnacle fair	2.39	ruler
Pinnacle offered	2.30	−3.8%
Betfair (net)	2.33	−2.5%
bet365	2.10	−12.1%

€212 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Away

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	—	2.39	2.33	2.10
Full time 1X2 · Draw	—	3.54	3.33	3.10
Full time 1X2 · Home	—	3.34	3.23	3.00
Over/under 2.5 · Over	—	2.28	2.08	1.96
Over/under 2.5 · Under	—	1.78	1.81	1.68
Over/under 3.5 · Over	—	4.41	3.80	3.75
Over/under 3.5 · Under	—	1.29	1.30	1.22
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	—	3.67	3.14	3.00
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	—	1.38	1.39	1.33
Both teams to score · No	—	2.01	2.06	1.86
Both teams to score · Yes	—	1.99	1.84	1.76

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.