Al Khaleej – Al Fayha

Saudi Professional League, Saudi-Arabia · 2026-10-15 · kickoff 14:50 UTC · full time 2-0 (HT 0-0) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Home

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	2.62	ref
Pinnacle fair	2.55	ruler
Pinnacle offered	2.45	−4.1%
Betfair (net)	2.42	−5.1%
bet365	2.25	−11.9%

€167 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Home

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	3.14	3.22	3.14	2.65
Full time 1X2 · Draw	3.33	3.35	3.19	3.20
Full time 1X2 · Home	2.62	2.55	2.42	2.25
Over/under 2.5 · Over	2.18	2.04	2.02	1.86
Over/under 2.5 · Under	1.85	1.96	1.86	1.86
Over/under 3.5 · Over	4.09	3.72	3.61	3.40
Over/under 3.5 · Under	1.32	1.37	1.32	1.27
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	3.19	3.19	2.95	2.70
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.46	1.46	1.45	1.37
Both teams to score · No	2.11	2.29	2.12	1.96
Both teams to score · Yes	1.90	1.78	1.73	1.68

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.