Al-Hazm – Al-Fateh SC

Saudi Professional League, Saudi Arabia · 2026-10-15 · kickoff 15:15 UTC

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Home

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	—	ref
Pinnacle fair	2.64	ruler
Pinnacle offered	2.53	−4.1%
Betfair (net)	2.52	−4.5%
bet365	2.30	−12.8%

€520 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Home

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	—	2.87	2.73	2.45
Full time 1X2 · Draw	—	3.67	3.56	3.50
Full time 1X2 · Home	—	2.64	2.52	2.30
Over/under 2.5 · Over	—	1.83	1.82	1.68
Over/under 2.5 · Under	—	2.21	2.06	1.96
Over/under 3.5 · Over	—	3.08	3.01	2.62
Over/under 3.5 · Under	—	1.48	1.42	1.41
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	—	2.85	2.60	2.57
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	—	1.54	1.51	1.41
Both teams to score · No	—	2.55	2.25	2.15
Both teams to score · Yes	—	1.65	1.67	1.57

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.