Al Shabab – Al Taawon

Saudi Professional League, Saudi-Arabia · 2026-10-11 · kickoff 18:00 UTC · full time 3-0 (HT 2-0) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Draw

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	3.44	ref
Pinnacle fair	3.77	ruler
Pinnacle offered	3.55	−5.9%
Betfair (net)	3.61	−4.2%
bet365	3.50	−7.2%

€8 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Draw

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	2.87	3.19	2.95	2.65
Full time 1X2 · Draw	3.44	3.77	3.61	3.50
Full time 1X2 · Home	2.78	2.37	2.29	2.15
Over/under 2.5 · Over	2.02	1.64	1.59	2.32
Over/under 2.5 · Under	1.98	2.57	2.50	1.49
Over/under 3.5 · Over	3.64	2.63	2.48	2.32
Over/under 3.5 · Under	1.38	1.61	1.59	1.49
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	2.69	2.54	2.31	2.20
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.59	1.65	1.65	1.53
Both teams to score · No	2.24	2.92	2.58	2.45
Both teams to score · Yes	1.81	1.52	1.53	1.46

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.