El Biar – CR Belouizdad

Ligue 1, Algeria · 2026-10-12 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · full time 2-3 (HT 1-2) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

Show

At kickoff · Draw

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	3.76	ref
Pinnacle fair	3.43	ruler
Pinnacle offered	3.16	−7.8%
Betfair (net)	3.14	−8.5%
bet365	3.20	−6.7%

€78 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Draw

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	2.57	1.77	1.70	1.61
Full time 1X2 · Draw	3.76	3.43	3.14	3.20
Full time 1X2 · Home	2.90	6.98	5.37	5.00
Over/under 2.5 · Over	2.04	2.73	2.53	2.45
Over/under 2.5 · Under	1.96	1.58	1.54	1.46
Both teams to score · No	2.16	1.68	1.56	1.49
Both teams to score · Yes	1.86	2.47	2.25	2.32

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.