Khenchela – Constantine

Ligue 1, Algeria · 2026-10-12 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · full time 2-0 (HT 1-0) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Draw

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	3.63	ref
Pinnacle fair	3.13	ruler
Pinnacle offered	2.93	−6.3%
Betfair (net)	2.95	−5.7%
bet365	3.00	−4.0%

€4 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Draw

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	3.35	3.35	3.14	2.85
Full time 1X2 · Draw	3.63	3.13	2.95	3.00
Full time 1X2 · Home	2.35	2.62	2.54	2.20
Over/under 2.5 · Over	2.28	2.85	2.60	2.45
Over/under 2.5 · Under	1.78	1.54	1.54	1.46
Both teams to score · No	1.97	1.80	1.80	1.62
Both teams to score · Yes	2.03	2.25	2.04	2.05

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.