Petrojet – Wadi Degla

Premier League, Egypt · 2026-10-13 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · full time 2-2 (HT 0-2) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

Show

At kickoff · Away

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	2.64	ref
Pinnacle fair	2.89	ruler
Pinnacle offered	2.70	−6.6%
Betfair (net)	2.75	−5.0%
bet365	2.45	−15.3%

€5 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Away

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	2.64	2.89	2.75	2.45
Full time 1X2 · Draw	3.27	2.98	2.84	2.82
Full time 1X2 · Home	3.17	3.13	2.90	2.70
Over/under 2.5 · Over	2.18	2.54	2.44	2.32
Over/under 2.5 · Under	1.84	1.65	1.58	1.49
Over/under 3.5 · Over	4.10	5.17	4.80	4.33
Over/under 3.5 · Under	1.32	1.24	1.21	1.17
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	4.15	3.76	3.71	3.50
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.32	1.36	1.29	1.25
Both teams to score · No	2.12	1.96	1.89	1.68
Both teams to score · Yes	1.90	2.04	1.93	1.96

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.