National Bank Egypt – El Gaish

Premier League, Egypt · 2026-10-13 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · full time 3-0 (HT 1-0) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Draw

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	2.96	ref
Pinnacle fair	2.74	ruler
Pinnacle offered	2.63	−4.1%
Betfair (net)	2.71	−1.2%
bet365	2.57	−6.3%

€10 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Draw

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	4.44	5.04	4.61	3.60
Full time 1X2 · Draw	2.96	2.74	2.71	2.57
Full time 1X2 · Home	2.29	2.29	2.18	2.10
Over/under 2.5 · Over	3.11	3.69	3.26	2.37
Over/under 2.5 · Under	1.47	1.37	1.38	1.50
Over/under 3.5 · Over	7.07	8.54	7.33	4.50
Over/under 3.5 · Under	1.17	1.13	1.12	1.13
Both teams to score · No	1.67	1.58	1.59	1.41
Both teams to score · Yes	2.49	2.73	2.48	2.57

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.