Abo Qair Semads – Asyut Petroleum

Premier League, Egypt · 2026-10-13 · kickoff 14:00 UTC

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Home

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	—	ref
Pinnacle fair	1.90	ruler
Pinnacle offered	1.85	−2.9%
Betfair (net)	1.90	−0.0%
bet365	1.76	−7.5%

€5 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Home

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	—	5.92	5.37	4.75
Full time 1X2 · Draw	—	3.27	3.04	2.75
Full time 1X2 · Home	—	1.90	1.90	1.76
Over/under 2.5 · Over	—	3.04	2.94	2.75
Over/under 2.5 · Under	—	1.49	1.44	1.37
Over/under 3.5 · Over	—	6.96	6.70	5.50
Over/under 3.5 · Under	—	1.17	1.14	1.10
Both teams to score · No	—	1.61	1.60	1.46
Both teams to score · Yes	—	2.63	2.42	2.45

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.