Modern Sport – Enppi

Premier League, Egypt · 2026-10-12 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · full time 3-2 (HT 3-2) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Away

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	2.96	ref
Pinnacle fair	3.57	ruler
Pinnacle offered	3.40	−4.9%
Betfair (net)	3.38	−5.6%
bet365	3.20	−10.5%

€111 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Away

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	2.96	3.57	3.38	3.20
Full time 1X2 · Draw	2.85	2.85	2.71	2.55
Full time 1X2 · Home	3.21	2.70	2.58	2.40
Over/under 2.5 · Over	3.19	3.34	2.90	3.00
Over/under 2.5 · Under	1.46	1.43	1.46	1.33
Over/under 3.5 · Over	7.33	7.85	6.32	5.50
Over/under 3.5 · Under	1.16	1.15	1.16	1.10
Both teams to score · No	1.70	1.68	1.70	1.57
Both teams to score · Yes	2.44	2.47	2.23	2.15

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.