Liaoning Tieren FC – Wuhan Three Towns FC

Super League, China · 2026-10-11 · kickoff 11:35 UTC

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Draw

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	—	ref
Pinnacle fair	4.18	ruler
Pinnacle offered	3.96	−5.3%
Betfair (net)	4.04	−3.4%
bet365	3.90	−6.7%

€82 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Draw

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	—	3.82	3.66	2.85
Full time 1X2 · Draw	—	4.18	4.04	3.90
Full time 1X2 · Home	—	2.00	1.92	2.10
Over/under 2.5 · Over	—	1.52	1.48	1.44
Over/under 2.5 · Under	—	2.92	2.79	2.60
Over/under 3.5 · Over	—	2.29	2.22	2.05
Over/under 3.5 · Under	—	1.77	1.72	1.62
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	—	2.31	2.18	2.05
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	—	1.76	1.73	1.62
Both teams to score · No	—	3.07	2.75	2.57
Both teams to score · Yes	—	1.48	1.49	1.41

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.