Qingdao West Coast – Dalian Yingbo

Super League, China · 2026-10-11 · kickoff 10:00 UTC · full time 0-4 (HT 0-1) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Draw

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	3.52	ref
Pinnacle fair	3.33	ruler
Pinnacle offered	3.20	−4.0%
Betfair (net)	3.33	−0.2%
bet365	3.50	+5.0%

€75 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Draw

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	3.85	2.97	2.81	2.57
Full time 1X2 · Draw	3.52	3.33	3.33	3.50
Full time 1X2 · Home	2.19	2.75	2.60	2.40
Over/under 2.5 · Over	2.35	2.13	2.03	1.93
Over/under 2.5 · Under	1.74	1.89	1.84	1.78
Over/under 3.5 · Over	4.60	3.88	3.63	2.75
Over/under 3.5 · Under	1.28	1.35	1.32	1.37
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	3.00	3.29	3.00	1.37
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.50	1.44	1.43	2.70
Both teams to score · No	1.92	2.24	2.12	1.91
Both teams to score · Yes	2.09	1.81	1.74	1.76

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.