Viktoria Koln – Grossaspach

3. Liga, Germany · 2026-10-14 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · full time 2-2 (HT 2-0) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Draw

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	4.74	ref
Pinnacle fair	4.51	ruler
Pinnacle offered	4.14	−8.2%
Betfair (net)	4.42	−2.0%
bet365	4.20	−6.9%

€17 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Draw

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	7.34	5.64	4.80	4.50
Full time 1X2 · Draw	4.74	4.51	4.42	4.20
Full time 1X2 · Home	1.53	1.66	1.64	1.45
Over/under 2.5 · Over	1.82	1.44	1.43	1.37
Over/under 2.5 · Under	2.22	3.25	3.04	2.87
Over/under 3.5 · Over	3.06	2.08	2.03	1.91
Over/under 3.5 · Under	1.49	1.92	1.84	1.81
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	2.62	2.17	2.01	1.96
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.62	1.86	1.84	1.68
Both teams to score · No	1.99	3.01	2.69	2.50
Both teams to score · Yes	2.01	1.50	1.50	1.47

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.