Hansa Rostock – Meppen

3. Liga, Germany · 2026-10-13 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · full time 0-2 (HT 0-0) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Draw

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	5.30	ref
Pinnacle fair	4.84	ruler
Pinnacle offered	4.39	−9.3%
Betfair (net)	4.71	−2.7%
bet365	4.33	−10.5%

€5 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Draw

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	7.24	7.05	5.94	5.25
Full time 1X2 · Draw	5.30	4.84	4.71	4.33
Full time 1X2 · Home	1.49	1.53	1.53	1.41
Over/under 2.5 · Over	1.54	1.48	1.47	1.41
Over/under 2.5 · Under	2.86	3.08	2.76	2.70
Over/under 3.5 · Over	2.33	2.21	2.14	1.96
Over/under 3.5 · Under	1.75	1.83	1.74	1.68
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	2.13	2.22	2.06	1.96
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.89	1.82	1.79	1.68
Both teams to score · No	2.34	2.65	2.41	2.20
Both teams to score · Yes	1.75	1.61	1.61	1.53

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.