Operario-PR – Goias

Serie B Superbet, Brazil · 2026-10-11 · kickoff 21:30 UTC · full time 0-2 (HT 0-2) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Home

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	2.22	ref
Pinnacle fair	2.49	ruler
Pinnacle offered	2.36	−5.2%
Betfair (net)	2.33	−6.4%
bet365	2.25	−9.6%

€131 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Home

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	3.57	3.38	3.04	3.00
Full time 1X2 · Draw	3.70	3.30	3.14	3.25
Full time 1X2 · Home	2.22	2.49	2.33	2.25
Over/under 2.5 · Over	2.38	2.18	2.08	1.96
Over/under 2.5 · Under	1.72	1.84	1.78	1.68
Over/under 3.5 · Over	4.69	4.32	3.75	3.50
Over/under 3.5 · Under	1.27	1.30	1.28	1.25
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	3.23	3.25	2.95	3.00
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.45	1.44	1.36	1.33
Both teams to score · No	1.88	2.09	2.03	1.86
Both teams to score · Yes	2.13	1.92	1.75	1.76

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.