Athletic Club – Londrina

Serie B Superbet, Brazil · 2026-10-13 · kickoff 22:30 UTC · full time 2-2 (HT 1-1) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Home

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	1.93	ref
Pinnacle fair	2.02	ruler
Pinnacle offered	1.97	−2.6%
Betfair (net)	1.99	−1.7%
bet365	1.91	−5.6%

€65 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Home

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	3.99	4.30	4.13	4.10
Full time 1X2 · Draw	4.33	3.66	3.38	3.25
Full time 1X2 · Home	1.93	2.02	1.99	1.91
Over/under 2.5 · Over	1.81	2.24	2.13	2.05
Over/under 2.5 · Under	2.23	1.81	1.79	1.62
Over/under 3.5 · Over	3.05	4.43	3.96	4.00
Over/under 3.5 · Under	1.49	1.29	1.29	1.19
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	2.51	3.47	3.14	3.25
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.66	1.41	1.41	1.30
Both teams to score · No	2.27	2.03	1.97	1.79
Both teams to score · Yes	1.79	1.97	1.89	1.79

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.