Flamengo RJ – Fluminense

Serie A Betano, Brazil · 2026-10-11 · kickoff 20:30 UTC · full time 1-0 (HT 0-0) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Home

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	1.63	ref
Pinnacle fair	1.62	ruler
Pinnacle offered	1.59	−1.6%
Betfair (net)	1.59	−2.0%
bet365	1.53	−5.6%

€246 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Home

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	6.34	6.48	6.13	6.00
Full time 1X2 · Draw	4.40	4.37	4.13	4.00
Full time 1X2 · Home	1.63	1.62	1.59	1.53
Over/under 2.5 · Over	1.95	1.87	1.83	1.78
Over/under 2.5 · Under	2.06	2.15	2.06	1.98
Over/under 3.5 · Over	3.41	3.30	3.14	2.70
Over/under 3.5 · Under	1.41	1.43	1.41	1.41
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	4.07	2.97	2.71	2.57
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.33	1.51	1.50	1.41
Both teams to score · No	1.96	2.09	2.01	1.91
Both teams to score · Yes	2.05	1.91	1.86	1.76

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.