CSKA 1948 Sofia – CSKA Sofia

Parva liga, Bulgaria · 2026-10-11 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · full time 2-3 (HT 0-2) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Away

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	2.54	ref
Pinnacle fair	2.04	ruler
Pinnacle offered	1.97	−3.3%
Betfair (net)	2.04	+0.3%
bet365	1.91	−6.3%

€187 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Away

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	2.54	2.04	2.04	1.91
Full time 1X2 · Draw	3.50	3.65	3.38	3.60
Full time 1X2 · Home	3.11	4.25	3.85	3.60
Over/under 2.5 · Over	2.44	1.87	1.88	1.68
Over/under 2.5 · Under	1.70	2.15	1.98	1.96
Over/under 3.5 · Over	4.87	3.30	3.20	3.25
Over/under 3.5 · Under	1.26	1.43	1.38	1.30
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	2.92	2.95	2.79	2.57
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.52	1.51	1.48	1.41
Both teams to score · No	1.90	2.35	2.14	2.05
Both teams to score · Yes	2.12	1.74	1.70	1.62

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.