Grasshoppers – Young Boys

Super League, Switzerland · 2026-10-11 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · full time 0-2 (HT 0-0) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Away

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	1.70	ref
Pinnacle fair	1.47	ruler
Pinnacle offered	1.44	−1.7%
Betfair (net)	1.47	−0.1%
bet365	1.39	−5.2%

€5 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Away

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	1.70	1.47	1.47	1.39
Full time 1X2 · Draw	5.06	5.91	5.37	5.00
Full time 1X2 · Home	4.64	6.71	5.94	6.25
Over/under 2.5 · Over	1.41	1.25	1.25	1.19
Over/under 2.5 · Under	3.46	5.07	4.51	4.20
Over/under 3.5 · Over	1.99	1.62	1.60	1.50
Over/under 3.5 · Under	2.01	2.62	2.46	2.37
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	2.09	1.76	1.70	1.62
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.92	2.32	2.22	2.05
Both teams to score · No	3.05	3.63	3.19	3.25
Both teams to score · Yes	1.49	1.38	1.39	1.30

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.