Radnicki Nis – Vojvodina

Serbia, Serbia · 2026-10-11 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · full time 1-4 (HT 0-2) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Draw

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	3.61	ref
Pinnacle fair	4.16	ruler
Pinnacle offered	3.75	−9.9%
Betfair (net)	4.13	−0.7%
bet365	3.75	−9.9%

€836 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Draw

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	1.98	1.86	1.76	1.76
Full time 1X2 · Draw	3.61	4.16	4.13	3.75
Full time 1X2 · Home	4.60	4.48	4.33	4.10
Over/under 2.5 · Over	2.00	1.72	1.67	1.62
Over/under 2.5 · Under	2.00	2.39	2.27	2.05
Over/under 3.5 · Over	3.58	2.96	2.69	2.50
Over/under 3.5 · Under	1.39	1.51	1.50	1.47
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	3.46	2.65	2.48	2.32
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.41	1.61	1.56	1.49
Both teams to score · No	2.14	2.47	2.25	2.15
Both teams to score · Yes	1.88	1.68	1.68	1.57

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.