Zemun – Zeleznicar Pancevo

Serbia, Serbia · 2026-10-11 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · full time 0-3 (HT 0-1) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Draw

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	3.35	ref
Pinnacle fair	4.16	ruler
Pinnacle offered	3.70	−11.0%
Betfair (net)	4.04	−2.8%
bet365	4.20	+1.0%

€3 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Draw

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	1.91	1.58	1.56	1.49
Full time 1X2 · Draw	3.35	4.16	4.04	4.20
Full time 1X2 · Home	5.62	7.79	6.51	5.50
Over/under 2.5 · Over	2.58	1.88	1.83	1.76
Over/under 2.5 · Under	1.63	2.14	2.06	1.96
Over/under 3.5 · Over	5.33	3.42	3.11	3.00
Over/under 3.5 · Under	1.23	1.41	1.39	1.33
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	3.21	2.88	2.69	2.57
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.45	1.53	1.49	1.41
Both teams to score · No	1.75	2.00	1.94	1.76
Both teams to score · Yes	2.33	2.00	1.89	1.86

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.