Panionios – PAOK B

Super League 2, Greece · 2026-10-12 · kickoff 11:45 UTC · full time 3-0 (HT 2-0) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Away

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	7.83	ref
Pinnacle fair	8.07	ruler
Pinnacle offered	6.58	−18.5%
Betfair (net)	8.03	−0.6%
bet365	6.50	−19.5%

€2 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Away

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

Venue	Opened	Lasted	Peak vs fair	€ at best price	Price taken	vs Pinnacle close	Result
Betfair	-19 min	10 min	+4.2%	€33	8.41	+4.2%	lost

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365	Minutes above fair
Full time 1X2 · Away	7.83	8.07	8.03	6.50	10
Full time 1X2 · Draw	4.35	4.26	4.04	3.80	0
Full time 1X2 · Home	1.56	1.56	1.47	1.46	0
Over/under 2.5 · Over	2.58	2.39	2.26	2.05	0
Over/under 2.5 · Under	1.63	1.72	1.69	1.62	0
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	3.34	3.62	3.23	—	0
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.43	1.38	1.36	—	0

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.