Karditsa – Zakynthos

Super League 2, Greece · 2026-10-12 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Away

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	5.30	ref
Pinnacle fair	4.54	ruler
Pinnacle offered	3.88	−14.6%
Betfair (net)	4.42	−2.7%
bet365	—	—

€40 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Away

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

Venue	Opened	Lasted	Peak vs fair	€ at best price	Price taken	vs Pinnacle close	Result
Betfair	-33 min	4 min	+3.1%	€26	4.42	−2.7%	pending

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365	Minutes above fair
Full time 1X2 · Away	5.30	4.54	4.42	—	4
Full time 1X2 · Draw	3.42	3.63	3.56	—	0
Full time 1X2 · Home	1.93	1.98	1.83	—	0
Over/under 2.5 · Over	3.37	2.02	1.97	1.86	0
Over/under 2.5 · Under	1.42	1.98	1.87	1.86	0
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	6.31	3.12	2.95	2.70	0
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.19	1.47	1.42	1.37	0

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.