Iraklis 1908 – Levadiakos

Super League, Greece · 2026-10-11 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · full time 2-0 (HT 0-0) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Draw

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	3.22	ref
Pinnacle fair	3.09	ruler
Pinnacle offered	2.97	−4.0%
Betfair (net)	3.09	−0.1%
bet365	3.00	−3.0%

€536 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Draw

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	3.40	3.89	3.66	—
Full time 1X2 · Draw	3.22	3.09	3.09	3.00
Full time 1X2 · Home	2.53	2.38	2.25	2.25
Over/under 2.5 · Over	2.19	2.48	2.35	2.20
Over/under 2.5 · Under	1.84	1.68	1.64	1.53
Over/under 3.5 · Over	4.12	4.90	4.51	4.00
Over/under 3.5 · Under	1.32	1.26	1.24	1.19
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	3.02	3.84	3.47	3.40
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.50	1.35	1.34	1.27
Both teams to score · No	2.12	1.97	1.89	1.71
Both teams to score · Yes	1.90	2.03	1.99	1.96

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.