Olympiacos Piraeus – Panathinaikos

Super League, Greece · 2026-10-11 · kickoff 18:00 UTC · full time 1-0 (HT 1-0) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Home

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	2.19	ref
Pinnacle fair	2.35	ruler
Pinnacle offered	2.28	−3.0%
Betfair (net)	2.25	−4.1%
bet365	—	—

€151 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Home

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	5.18	3.67	3.47	—
Full time 1X2 · Draw	2.86	3.31	3.19	3.10
Full time 1X2 · Home	2.19	2.35	2.25	—
Over/under 2.5 · Over	3.51	2.27	2.14	2.05
Over/under 2.5 · Under	1.40	1.79	1.76	1.62
Over/under 3.5 · Over	8.46	4.38	4.04	3.75
Over/under 3.5 · Under	1.13	1.29	1.29	1.22
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	4.83	3.52	3.19	3.25
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.26	1.40	1.38	1.30
Both teams to score · No	1.57	2.10	2.06	1.91
Both teams to score · Yes	2.76	1.91	1.84	1.76

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.