AE Kifisia FC – Panaitolikos Agrinio

Super League, Greece · 2026-10-11 · kickoff 14:00 UTC

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Away

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	—	ref
Pinnacle fair	4.92	ruler
Pinnacle offered	4.62	−6.1%
Betfair (net)	4.61	−6.3%
bet365	—	—

€148 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Away

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	—	4.92	4.61	—
Full time 1X2 · Draw	—	3.66	3.42	3.30
Full time 1X2 · Home	—	1.91	1.86	—
Over/under 2.5 · Over	—	2.26	2.14	2.05
Over/under 2.5 · Under	—	1.80	1.75	1.62
Over/under 3.5 · Over	—	4.42	3.96	3.75
Over/under 3.5 · Under	—	1.29	1.29	1.22
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	—	3.55	3.19	3.25
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	—	1.39	1.38	1.30
Both teams to score · No	—	1.95	1.91	1.76
Both teams to score · Yes	—	2.05	1.95	1.91

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.