Farul Constanta – Petrolul

Liga 1, Romania · 2026-10-11 · kickoff 18:00 UTC · full time 3-1 (HT 2-1) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Home

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	2.06	ref
Pinnacle fair	1.89	ruler
Pinnacle offered	1.83	−2.8%
Betfair (net)	1.85	−1.6%
bet365	1.71	−9.3%

€5 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Home

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	4.35	4.66	4.42	3.80
Full time 1X2 · Draw	3.51	3.92	3.52	3.40
Full time 1X2 · Home	2.06	1.89	1.85	1.71
Over/under 2.5 · Over	2.63	1.83	1.83	1.68
Over/under 2.5 · Under	1.61	2.21	2.05	1.96
Over/under 3.5 · Over	5.46	3.42	3.14	2.75
Over/under 3.5 · Under	1.22	1.41	1.41	1.37
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	3.54	2.87	2.63	2.45
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.39	1.54	1.51	1.46
Both teams to score · No	1.75	2.33	2.18	2.05
Both teams to score · Yes	2.33	1.75	1.71	1.62

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.