Batman Petrolspor – Istanbulspor AS

1. Lig, Turkey · 2026-10-14 · kickoff 11:30 UTC · full time 4-2 (HT 2-0) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Draw

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	4.61	ref
Pinnacle fair	3.98	ruler
Pinnacle offered	3.64	−8.7%
Betfair (net)	3.94	−1.0%
bet365	3.60	−9.7%

€2 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Draw

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	4.21	4.95	4.33	4.33
Full time 1X2 · Draw	4.61	3.98	3.94	3.60
Full time 1X2 · Home	1.83	1.83	1.72	1.62
Over/under 2.5 · Over	1.42	1.83	1.72	1.62
Over/under 2.5 · Under	3.39	2.21	2.17	2.05
Over/under 3.5 · Over	2.02	3.18	2.86	2.75
Over/under 3.5 · Under	1.98	1.46	1.41	1.37
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	2.21	2.77	2.50	2.45
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.83	1.56	1.55	1.46
Both teams to score · No	3.18	2.27	2.10	2.05
Both teams to score · Yes	1.46	1.79	1.67	1.62

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.