Sariyer SK – Bodrum FK

1. Lig, Turkey · 2026-10-13 · kickoff 14:00 UTC

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Home

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	—	ref
Pinnacle fair	1.93	ruler
Pinnacle offered	1.87	−3.3%
Betfair (net)	1.89	−2.0%
bet365	1.76	−8.9%

€18 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Home

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	—	5.24	4.80	4.20
Full time 1X2 · Draw	—	3.43	3.19	3.10
Full time 1X2 · Home	—	1.93	1.89	1.76
Over/under 2.5 · Over	—	2.51	2.39	2.35
Over/under 2.5 · Under	—	1.66	1.61	1.54
Over/under 3.5 · Over	—	5.09	4.71	4.50
Over/under 3.5 · Under	—	1.24	1.23	1.15
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	—	3.83	3.42	3.50
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	—	1.35	1.33	1.25
Both teams to score · No	—	1.85	1.78	1.57
Both teams to score · Yes	—	2.17	2.06	2.15

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.