Bandirmaspor – Sivasspor

1. Lig, Turkey · 2026-10-13 · kickoff 11:30 UTC · full time 1-1 (HT 0-0) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

Show

At kickoff · Home

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	2.14	ref
Pinnacle fair	1.83	ruler
Pinnacle offered	1.76	−3.8%
Betfair (net)	1.79	−2.4%
bet365	1.66	−9.4%

€252 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Home

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	4.52	5.13	4.61	4.20
Full time 1X2 · Draw	3.21	3.86	3.61	3.40
Full time 1X2 · Home	2.14	1.83	1.79	1.66
Over/under 2.5 · Over	2.91	1.94	1.85	1.78
Over/under 2.5 · Under	1.52	2.06	2.01	1.93
Over/under 3.5 · Over	6.39	3.61	3.14	3.25
Over/under 3.5 · Under	1.19	1.38	1.38	1.30
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	3.56	2.92	2.63	2.57
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.39	1.52	1.44	1.41
Both teams to score · No	1.69	2.24	2.04	1.96
Both teams to score · Yes	2.46	1.81	1.75	1.68

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.