Pendikspor – Van Spor FK

1. Lig, Turkey · 2026-10-13 · kickoff 17:00 UTC

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Draw

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	—	ref
Pinnacle fair	3.49	ruler
Pinnacle offered	3.30	−5.5%
Betfair (net)	3.47	−0.7%
bet365	3.20	−8.4%

€4 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Draw

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	—	3.97	3.75	3.50
Full time 1X2 · Draw	—	3.49	3.47	3.20
Full time 1X2 · Home	—	2.17	2.03	1.91
Over/under 2.5 · Over	—	2.06	1.95	1.88
Over/under 2.5 · Under	—	1.95	1.93	1.83
Over/under 3.5 · Over	—	3.74	3.42	3.25
Over/under 3.5 · Under	—	1.37	1.34	1.30
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	—	3.17	2.88	2.70
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	—	1.46	1.45	1.37
Both teams to score · No	—	2.18	2.08	1.96
Both teams to score · Yes	—	1.85	1.76	1.68

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.