Keciorengucu – Igdir FK

1. Lig, Turkey · 2026-10-14 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · full time 0-0 (HT 0-0) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Home

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	2.09	ref
Pinnacle fair	2.34	ruler
Pinnacle offered	2.22	−5.0%
Betfair (net)	2.20	−6.0%
bet365	2.15	−8.0%

€247 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Home

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	3.91	3.52	3.09	3.10
Full time 1X2 · Draw	3.75	3.48	3.23	3.10
Full time 1X2 · Home	2.09	2.34	2.20	2.15
Over/under 2.5 · Over	1.92	1.98	1.88	1.86
Over/under 2.5 · Under	2.09	2.02	1.95	1.86
Over/under 3.5 · Over	3.34	3.54	3.26	2.75
Over/under 3.5 · Under	1.43	1.40	1.34	1.37
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	2.29	2.96	2.82	2.70
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.78	1.51	1.44	1.37
Both teams to score · No	2.25	2.29	2.18	2.05
Both teams to score · Yes	1.80	1.78	1.68	1.62

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.