SJK Akatemia – KTP

Ykkonen, Finland · 2026-10-11 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · full time 4-3 (HT 0-1) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Away

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	1.50	ref
Pinnacle fair	1.40	ruler
Pinnacle offered	1.37	−2.3%
Betfair (net)	1.37	−2.3%
bet365	1.33	−5.2%

€44 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Away

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	1.50	1.40	1.37	1.33
Full time 1X2 · Draw	5.23	6.48	6.13	4.75
Full time 1X2 · Home	7.10	7.52	7.08	5.75
Over/under 2.5 · Over	1.73	1.36	1.35	1.33
Over/under 2.5 · Under	2.38	3.76	3.47	3.00
Over/under 3.5 · Over	2.81	1.93	1.86	1.78
Over/under 3.5 · Under	1.55	2.07	1.99	1.93
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	3.13	1.98	1.92	1.86
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.47	2.02	1.93	1.86
Both teams to score · No	2.04	2.64	2.44	2.45
Both teams to score · Yes	1.96	1.61	1.60	1.46

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.