Cadiz CF – Gijon

La Liga2, Spain · 2026-10-11 · kickoff 19:00 UTC · full time 0-1 (HT 0-0) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

Show

At kickoff · Home

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	2.79	ref
Pinnacle fair	2.21	ruler
Pinnacle offered	2.15	−2.5%
Betfair (net)	2.14	−2.9%
bet365	1.96	−11.1%

€764 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Home

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	2.76	4.26	3.94	3.90
Full time 1X2 · Draw	3.59	3.21	3.09	3.20
Full time 1X2 · Home	2.79	2.21	2.14	1.96
Over/under 2.5 · Over	2.26	2.41	2.29	2.20
Over/under 2.5 · Under	1.79	1.71	1.68	1.62
Over/under 3.5 · Over	4.32	4.70	4.42	4.00
Over/under 3.5 · Under	1.30	1.27	1.26	1.19
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	3.20	3.78	3.42	3.25
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.46	1.36	1.36	1.30
Both teams to score · No	2.00	1.97	1.94	1.76
Both teams to score · Yes	2.00	2.03	1.94	1.86

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.