Konyaspor – Basaksehir

Super Lig, Turkey · 2026-10-11 · kickoff 10:30 UTC · full time 0-0 (HT 0-0) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

Show

At kickoff · Draw

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	3.55	ref
Pinnacle fair	3.52	ruler
Pinnacle offered	3.39	−3.6%
Betfair (net)	3.47	−1.3%
bet365	3.60	+2.4%

€566 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Draw

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	2.44	3.47	3.19	2.85
Full time 1X2 · Draw	3.55	3.52	3.47	3.60
Full time 1X2 · Home	3.24	2.34	2.25	2.15
Over/under 2.5 · Over	2.00	1.80	1.76	1.62
Over/under 2.5 · Under	2.00	2.26	2.14	2.05
Over/under 3.5 · Over	3.58	2.98	2.88	2.75
Over/under 3.5 · Under	1.39	1.50	1.45	1.37
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	3.12	2.81	2.65	2.45
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.47	1.55	1.53	1.46
Both teams to score · No	2.23	2.62	2.41	2.20
Both teams to score · Yes	1.81	1.62	1.63	1.53

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.