Eyupspor – Goztepe

Super Lig, Turkey · 2026-10-12 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · full time 0-4 (HT 0-1) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

Show

At kickoff · Away

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	2.51	ref
Pinnacle fair	1.89	ruler
Pinnacle offered	1.85	−2.2%
Betfair (net)	1.89	+0.3%
bet365	1.71	−9.4%

€77 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Away

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	2.51	1.89	1.89	1.71
Full time 1X2 · Draw	3.42	3.94	3.61	3.70
Full time 1X2 · Home	3.24	4.62	4.33	3.60
Over/under 2.5 · Over	2.14	1.91	1.85	1.76
Over/under 2.5 · Under	1.88	2.10	2.04	1.96
Over/under 3.5 · Over	3.97	3.34	3.14	3.00
Over/under 3.5 · Under	1.34	1.43	1.41	1.33
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	3.44	3.00	2.79	2.57
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.41	1.50	1.48	1.41
Both teams to score · No	2.12	2.23	2.14	1.96
Both teams to score · Yes	1.89	1.82	1.76	1.68

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.