Vendsyssel FF – HB Koege

1st Division, Denmark · 2026-10-11 · kickoff 12:00 UTC

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Away

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	—	ref
Pinnacle fair	3.01	ruler
Pinnacle offered	2.80	−6.9%
Betfair (net)	2.79	−7.4%
bet365	2.65	−11.9%

€163 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Away

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	—	3.01	2.79	2.65
Full time 1X2 · Draw	—	3.58	3.56	3.50
Full time 1X2 · Home	—	2.57	2.42	2.35
Over/under 2.5 · Over	—	1.78	1.68	1.62
Over/under 2.5 · Under	—	2.28	2.14	2.05
Over/under 3.5 · Over	—	3.05	2.76	2.62
Over/under 3.5 · Under	—	1.49	1.46	1.41
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	—	2.72	2.54	2.45
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	—	1.58	1.52	1.46
Both teams to score · No	—	2.65	2.37	2.20
Both teams to score · Yes	—	1.60	1.57	1.53

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.