LASK – SK Rapid

Bundesliga, Austria · 2026-10-11 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · full time 0-2 (HT 0-0) · match page

DC (results-only model)Pinnacle fairBetfair netbet365 (reference)gap

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At kickoff · Home

Line	Price	vs fair
DC (results-only)	2.08	ref
Pinnacle fair	1.97	ruler
Pinnacle offered	1.93	−2.2%
Betfair (net)	1.93	−1.9%
bet365	1.90	−3.5%

€5 at Betfair’s best back price at kickoff.

Betfair commission

The blue line is the yardstick. Orange above blue means Betfair, after commission, paid more than Pinnacle’s no-margin price at that minute. bet365 (green) is shown for reference only: its feed can lag for long stretches near kickoff, so it never counts as a gap. The grey dashed line is FC’s Dixon–Coles model, fixed before kickoff. It sees past results only — no lineups, injuries or news — so it can sit far from the market: a reference, not a signal. The guide →

Gaps · Full time 1X2 · Home

rule: ≥3% above fair for ≥3 min, price 2 min after opening, Betfair at 5%

No gap met the rule for this outcome.

Every market at kickoff

Market · outcome	DC (results-only)	Pinnacle fair	Betfair net (5%)	bet365
Full time 1X2 · Away	3.81	3.93	3.71	3.70
Full time 1X2 · Draw	3.91	4.21	3.94	3.75
Full time 1X2 · Home	2.08	1.97	1.93	1.90
Over/under 2.5 · Over	1.70	1.51	1.49	1.40
Over/under 2.5 · Under	2.42	2.96	2.75	2.87
Over/under 3.5 · Over	2.75	2.31	2.22	2.10
Over/under 3.5 · Under	1.57	1.76	1.71	1.66
Half time over/under 1.5 · Over	2.29	2.29	2.16	2.10
Half time over/under 1.5 · Under	1.78	1.78	1.72	1.66
Both teams to score · No	2.56	3.00	2.79	2.62
Both teams to score · Yes	1.64	1.50	1.48	1.44

Measurement, not tips: nothing here recommends a bet. Prices via OddsPapi. 18+. Gambling can harm — BeGambleAware, GamCare.